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Cisco Sees ASP Potential In Europe
By Phil Wainewright
August 29, 2001

Could the next resurgence of the ASP sector occur in Europe rather than North America? After the U.S. economic downturn took hold last year, Cisco Systems executives within its hosted applications program came to the conclusion that the next wave might well come from across the Atlantic. Fred Danielsen, a key architect of the Cisco Hosted Applications Initiative (CHAI), relocated from Silicon Valley to Europe early this year to help spearhead market development efforts.

Europe or Bust?
Is Europe where the immediate growth potential lies for ASPs? Give us your feedback at the ASPnews Discussion Forum
The company is working with a select band of partners to put what it sees as the necessary ingredients in place to encourage take-up of hosted applications in Europe, Danielsen told ASPnews earlier this month. The measures include a technology focus on helping to create an integrated, end-to-end infrastructure for application providers, as well as encouraging the development of private-label, packaged service offerings for small-to-medium size enterprises (SMEs). Cisco has also been taking the temperature of the European market, asking users what ASPs need to do to gain acceptance.

All About the Infrastructure
One factor in Europe's favor is a telecommunications infrastructure that is much more integrated than in the U.S. "[In Europe], I think we have a more stable environment. In some countries the PTT [national telecoms operator] still owns the last mile," said Danielsen.

This is in contrast to the U.S. environment, where federal regulators enforce a split between the backbone carriers and the providers of the "last mile" services that connect subscribers to the network. This makes it difficult for operators to build their service offerings, he said.

"Over the last mile, [U.S. operators] have all kinds of challenges in terms of regulators. If you don't have a clear understanding of what you can do on the last mile, it becomes very difficult to build the framework," he explained. "Look at what happened to the DSL companies. They're almost all gone."

A World without Wires
Another trump card for Europe is the maturity of its wireless industry. Danielsen said that venture capital investors had put a total of $3.8 billion into companies developing software for wireless in the past year, and that as many as 800 software vendors are readying packages for use with Compaq's wireless handheld, the iPaq.

"At the end of this year, there's going to be a lot of software vendors being pressed to deliver their software over wireless — which is not being recognized by U.S. companies at all," he said.

Cisco itself has taken the plunge as a user of wireless applications, implementing delivery of Oracle, Peoplesoft and in-house applications to its field sales teams using iPaqs connected via the Vodafone cellular network. The aim is to create a proof of concept for wireless delivery of business apps, said Danielsen.

Keys to Taking Europe
Danielsen admitted that, so far, the European market has been slow to adopt ASP offerings. "For small and medium [business], they're not getting the traction that we originally envisaged," he said.

One factor has been that smaller businesses in Europe have a tendency to wait for a lead from those in authority, he said. That lead has yet to come, since their trusted advisors, such as professional bodies and industry associations, have not been ready to recommend hosted solutions, while government officials and ministers have also held back.

They perhaps in turn are waiting for larger companies to make the first move. Cisco recently surveyed the views of CIOs in larger European companies, and identified four areas where they had reservations about dealing with ASPs:

  1. Trust — they doubt providers' abilities to deliver
  2. Confidence — they feel providers lack credibility and track records
  3. Accreditation — they want to see ASPs endorsed by recognized industry brands
  4. Value to their business — they need to be convinced that using hosted applications will deliver a measurable return
That need to build trust and confidence has spurred Danielsen's team this year in its efforts. It has been pursuing a two-pronged strategy to encourage venture-capital investors and vendors to commit to the sector, working to co-ordinate the development of an application-ready infrastructure as well as the availability of the content and applications themselves.

Back to the Infrastructure
Getting the right infrastructure in place is vital to ensure the end-to-end quality of service that will build confidence, Cisco believes. It sees the key players in this regard as AIPs (application infrastructure providers), a term originally coined to denote managed hosting providers that catered to the specific needs of application hosting. However, Cisco has now extended the term to include the management of infrastructure outside of the data center as well.

"As the market moved forward, it became evident we needed to look at the entire delivery infrastructure, which included the backbone and the last mile. That end-to-end infrastructure should support many types of services," Danielsen said.

"Basically it's a blueprint of the three pieces — data center, backbone, last mile," he said, one which meets the service delivery requirements of hosted applications in a cost-effective way.

Cisco's role is to get different providers working together. That means, for example, teaming up virtual private networks (VPN) backbone operators with colocation providers (colos) and wireless carriers, to create integrated end-to-end application delivery infrastructure. Brokering such partnerships is in line with consolidation trends within the industry, said Danielsen.

"You're going to see the next generation of traditional colos moving into a more managed service end-to-end — and one of the options will be wireless," said Danielsen.

"We're seeing a lot of consolidation," he added. "By the end of the year, you're going to see PTTs, telcos and service providers merging with colocation providers," he said.

Most of its current partners, such as British Telecom division BT Ignite, telecoms and hosting provider Energis and Danish managed network provider DMdata, are network or colocation providers. Cisco also expects to work closely with IBM Global Services. One of its first allies on the software side of the business is Web services platform startup Genient.

Many software vendors have not yet adapted their products to the requirements of the network-hosted environment, said Danielsen. "I don't think software vendors are going to be successful unless they can deliver software that is customized and packaged at the same time," he said. In other words, applications will have to be easy to configure to the needs of individual businesses and users at the point of delivery.

Mission to Europe
Cisco's mission in Europe is to make sure the infrastructure is going to be in place to deliver next-generation applications, while supporting the efforts of those who aim to create those applications. Danielsen said that it will encourage its service provider partners either to act as participants in the network of AIP services, or as resellers of services created by the emerging next-generation software providers.